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LED longevity makes the "player" drop
With the maturity and quality of LED lighting products, the original lamps have changed from 12 years to now, and now they have changed lamps for 45 or even 10 years. The replacement period of lamps has become longer, which indirectly leads to a reduction in the lighting market. The longevity of LEDs makes it unnecessary for so many people to play in the future. Philips Lumileds Asia Marketing Director Zhou Xuejun: LED lighting products experience three waves, the first wave of high power, the second wave of medium power, and then the third wave of intelligent lighting. At present, the design of indoor lighting 99 is based on medium power, the price is also very powerful, and the service life is also decreasing. It has gone from 30,000 hours to 25,000 hours, to 15,000 hours to 10,000 hours, and there may be 6000 in the future. Hours, in different application areas, the life of the lamps is different, for example, the time to turn on the lights in the home is not long, and the time required in the professional field may be longer. The previous energy-saving lamps have a service life of 30004,000 hours, and LED lighting products do not need to reach more than 10,000 hours in the future. The energy-saving effect is good only when it is upgraded to 70008,000 hours. The long life of LEDs will definitely affect the industry, and there is no need for so many manufacturers in the future. On the other hand, how can companies increase the value of their applications by adding value. The industry is too forward-looking, LED penetration has not yet reached 50, and companies have begun to discuss the third wave, everyone is doing products with a predictability of the industry. Life is no longer a problem, lighting brings endless changes to life is the key Samsung Tang China General Manager Tang Guoqing: I am generally the last one, because one is to talk about comprehensive. Today, there are three foreigners in the industry, and there are three people in the country. It can be said that PK is hot. Our life is getting richer and richer. Nowadays, the Chinese dream is popular, and it is more and more dreamy and beautiful. Today's lamps are more than just a lighting item. It is a concrete manifestation of many beautiful Chinese dreams. For example, intelligence, communication, and convenience, life is no longer a problem, and lighting brings endless and exciting changes to life. At present, it is in the stage of functional lighting. In the future, LED will develop towards the experiential consumption direction. Chen Qi, Chairman of High Energy New Materials Co., Ltd.: At present, the lighting market has more requirements for functional functionality, staying at the level of industrial products. Emerging applications, through innovation, LED lighting products into a product that can truly make consumers experience consumption. Taking the home as an example, the current lighting product update should be synchronized with the home decoration style, which restricts the lighting products. When designing a product, it is necessary to innovate the design so that it can be replaced easily and independently without relying on the home decoration. This year, there was no appearance at the Guangya Exhibition, but it was displayed at the hotel next to it, because it is closer to the consumer customers and convenient for communication. In the next 510 years, the market will maintain a growth rate of more than 8 and LED penetration will reach 40 next year. General Manager of General Lighting (GE) Lighting Group Lighting Technology: General Electric will never give up on the Chinese market, focus on marketing, resources In the more effective promotion. Many people say that the lighting industry will be saturated in the near future under the influence of LED product technology and performance, but I think it is more appropriate to ask this question after three years and five years. This year, the LED lighting market is growing rapidly, especially in this year's LED light source replacement market. In many financial reports, several large LED companies have grown by more than 10, while traditional lighting has been hit hard. Internal discussions have concluded that the market will maintain a growth rate of 8 or more in the next 510 years, and the penetration rate will reach 40 next year, and even reach 70 in the next few years. This speed is beyond imagination. As for how to create more value in the future, intelligence will be a big direction in the future in terms of increasing the added value of products. In addition, companies can create more creative products for consumers in specific application areas. In the future, there will be localized standardization of local area in the field of lighting. Zhang Wei, general manager of Cooper Electric (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.: We are purely manufacturers of lighting applications. Upstream, manufacturers such as GE and OSRAM give us pressure, and companies in the same field also Many, including the Pearl River Delta region, have many competitors. With so many manufacturers competing, how to achieve rapid retreat is not an easy task. I saw the start of many companies and saw the end of the business in a short time. The most painful thing in this industry is that when we all think it is a sunrise, we have already gone to the sunset. Nowadays, many people in the industry are discussing how much money per watt. They have been squeezing themselves into cost competition. In fact, they should consider the effective illumination per unit area. Rethink, what is a luminaire under the LED era? Why are there strip lights? Why is it a little light source? Why are there floodlights? Its reason comes from our traditional light source. Because of the T5 and T8, we have a strip light. Many people in the LED era put the light source directly into the T5 and T8. Our light is architectural and reflects the beauty of the building at night. Why not consider the unit structure of lighting with architecture as the main body? This is one aspect of our going forward. The other is the highly standardized functional lighting. I have been to the United States and many cities in Thailand to find some common points. The street lighting used in each urban area is basically the same style. New York has revised the standard every three years. There are only three standards for each standard. The product will not be changed once it is finalized, which has great continuity and management convenience for the city. This is done in cities such as Bangkok, Sydney, New York and other developed and developing countries. I believe that as China develops, the future will standardize local areas in the field of lighting. From the perspective of long-term functional application lighting, the standards are slowly becoming finer. According to the standard, it can help many companies to take less detours. Despite the long life of LED, the future market volume will continue to expand. Shao Jiaping, general manager and technical director of Cree China: At present, LED lighting products have better quality and longer life. Generally, after a period of development, they will reach their peak and then fall. However, I believe that the market will continue to expand in the future, like the Iphone4S, the performance and longevity of its products are better than before, but it is hot in the market. Individuals do not feel that the market will reach saturation after three or five years. In addition to the longevity of the luminaire, it is more important to make efforts in the industrial design, light source, aesthetics and intelligent control of the lamp. This market still has great potential. The cross-border integration of science, technology and culture is a direction for the future development of the industry. Dr. Chang Zhigang, Ph.D. in Architecture Engineering, Tsinghua University: The architectural lighting aesthetics are now expressed in the way that the sun illuminates the building, so they are all in the sun. The standard of the illuminating bottom measures the performance of the luminaire, and the indicator of color rendering is the best illustration. Color rendering is an old concept. I don't think lighting is necessarily to project, to directly shine on the building, it has more ways of expression. Designers are designing to be a way of life and to achieve the best service in their existing lifestyles; while artists are reacting to the two extremes of the existing lifestyle, one is to pick bad, one is Pick it up. The artist is reflective and the lighting engineer is service. How to combine art, design and technology is something we should think about. At the opening of the meeting, many people in the lighting industry stressed that more is the improvement of technical indicators, and the people are not interested in technical indicators. I think that we should have a social impact first, then we have economic development, we have a business model, and we can make a profit. When doing industry skills, you can return to the source and think from the perspective of the user. So I think that two people are more important, that is, designers and artists, designers directly communicate with product users, and artists think higher, stand in the industry and even social and cultural heights to think about problems. How can the lighting industry promote the combination of science, technology, culture and other elements? I believe that cross-border is an important direction for the future development of the industry. Industry thinking should be free from the industry's own circle to think.