·Shenzhen Qiangqiang promotes automobile purchase restriction and is not satisfied with who is the next city to buy

At the end of 2014, the car “restricted purchase army” added another member. With the surge in car ownership, more and more cities will face the problem of governance and blocking. Although the method of restricting purchases is regarded as a “special effect drug”, experts believe that the key is to change the urban development ideas and marketize. Means for deep governance -

From 18:00 on December 29, 2014, Shenzhen has implemented a limited purchase of cars, and electric vehicles are also among the restricted purchases. Shenzhen has become the eighth city to implement auto purchases after Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Guiyang, Shijiazhuang, Tianjin and Hangzhou.

What the public did not expect was that from the official release of the purchase restriction announcement to the implementation of the purchase restriction, the interval was only 20 minutes apart, and the "law enforcement team" composed of Shenzhen traffic management and market supervision departments immediately blocked a number of automobile 4S stores, causing many The strong dissatisfaction of car dealers and consumers is hailed as “the most powerful purchase restriction in history”.

After the Shenzhen purchase limit, in the just-launched 2015, what other cities in the country will follow suit? What is the effect of limiting purchases and blocking? How can we achieve the best of both worlds?

Who is the next city to buy?

Regarding why the “restriction order” was suddenly thrown out, the Shenzhen Municipal Government made four explanations: First, the number of motor vehicles in Shenzhen grew rapidly, and the vehicle density ranked first in the country. Second, the current exhaust emissions of motor vehicles have become the main source of atmospheric pollution. Third, the total number of parking spaces in Shenzhen is about 1.04 million, and the gap in the future is two-thirds. Fourth, the regulation measures that use the parking fee adjustment fee for off-street parking lots as the main economic means cannot be implemented at present.

However, from the current public opinion, there are different views from all walks of life. In January 2014, in the "two sessions" held in Guangdong Province, Shenzhen Mayor Xu Qin had promised that Shenzhen would not be allowed to buy private cars. In addition, Wang Guobin, deputy director of the Shenzhen Public Security Bureau, said in November 2013 that if Shenzhen issued a policy on the restriction of the number limit, "there will be a wide range of opinions, and there will be no sudden attacks."

“Shenzhen’s sudden purchase restriction of “not to buy” is really difficult to get people’s understanding.” Lin Burn, an auto industry analyst, believes that “if the actual traffic situation in Shenzhen is seen, the introduction of this policy is expected. ”

According to relevant statistics of Shenzhen City, as of December 20, 2014, the number of motor vehicles in Shenzhen exceeded 3.14 million, with an average annual growth rate of about 16% in the past five years and about 500 vehicles per kilometer. Ranked first in the country. Among them, about 550,000 new vehicles were added in 2014, with a growth rate of 20.9%. With the continuous rapid growth of motor vehicles, the length of traffic congestion continues to rise, and traffic congestion areas continue to expand. At present, the peak congestion period in downtown Shenzhen has increased from 38 minutes in 2012 to 55 minutes in 2014. Among them, the speed of the peak of the “three horizontal and six vertical” congested belts in Shenzhen has dropped to 9 kilometers to 15 kilometers per hour. International experience shows that the warning line for traffic congestion in big cities is 20 kilometers per hour, which means that if a city has an average speed of less than 20 kilometers per hour, then the city must find a way to “block”.

"In terms of purchase restriction, Shenzhen is not the initiator, nor is it the Terminator." Dong Yang, executive vice president and secretary general of China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, said that currently five cities including Chengdu, Shijiazhuang, Chongqing, Qingdao and Wuhan have implemented automobile purchase restriction policies. The possibility, "because the road traffic congestion in these cities is not optimistic."

As for some speculations in the society, Chengdu had held a hearing on the restriction of purchases, and was opposed by some of the hearing representatives, and ultimately failed to make a trip.

Looking for a more effective way to block

Although some people question the legitimacy of some local government restrictions on purchase restrictions, an undeniable fact is that these cities have suffered a lot of vehicles, traffic congestion is serious, and restrictions on purchases and restrictions are undoubtedly "effective."

Statistics from the Traffic Management Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security show that as of November 2014, the annual increase of motor vehicles in China exceeded 10 million, and the number of cars in 35 cities exceeded one million. The structure of traffic travel has undergone fundamental changes. There are more than 2 million vehicles in 10 cities including Beijing, Chengdu and Shenzhen. Traffic congestion has become a common problem in many cities in China.

In Lin Burning's view, more and more central cities will join the wave of car purchase restrictions, which is a microcosm of the development of China's automobile society in the process of urbanization.

Data from government departments show that some cities have achieved certain results after implementing the restriction-restriction policy for a period of time. However, some "double-limit" urban citizens' travel feelings and related reports show that managing traffic congestion is not a "limit" to the spirit.

For example, in Beijing, where the implementation of the multi-year purchase restriction policy, the traffic operation analysis report released by the Beijing Municipal Traffic Commission shows that the average traffic jam per day in Beijing is 1 hour and 55 minutes per day in 2013, which is 25 minutes more than the average in 2012, and the congestion has been Spread from the core area to the periphery.

In this regard, experts believe that in the short term, the implementation of the limit of purchase restrictions can have an immediate effect. However, in the long run, the fundamental method is to transform the urban development ideas and conduct deep-level governance with market-based means.

“In fact, many large foreign cities have more cars than China, but traffic congestion is lighter than China’s.” Shi Jianhua, deputy secretary-general of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, believes that “a metropolis like Paris is basically not blocked or blocked. The serious situation is because their road facilities are designed very reasonably, including signal settings and road settings, resulting in a very smooth natural flow."

Relevant departments suggested that local governments should learn from the experience of developed countries in adopting economic means to control congestion, and scientifically select restrictive measures. While encouraging old vehicles to scrap, promote old-for-new, and eliminate yellow-label vehicles, rebuild urban road planning for automobile society. Development strategy to strengthen infrastructure construction such as traffic management and parking lots.

"Restricted purchase limit is not a cure, it can only temporarily alleviate traffic congestion. The key is to speed up the improvement of the public transport system and guide consumers to change the current car use mode." Industry expert Zhang Yi used Tokyo, Japan as an example, "Tokyo There are about 7 million cars in Beijing, but the peak congestion at the peak of the morning peak is not serious. Most office workers use buses or subways, and only a few people with parking spaces drive or take cars to and from work. ”

Zhang Yi believes that the current Chinese automobile consumption model should promote hot purchase and cold use, that is, encourage purchase, restrict use, take the bus to work, and use private cars on weekends. "This model can not only achieve the goal of the car into the family, but also reduce the private car on the road. It can be said that it is the best of both worlds.

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